12 June 2026

Three closes that turn a probe into a break

Why RiverHub tutors ask for location of the close — not merely a wick beyond the line — before calling a breakout confirmed.

Financial newspaper and chart imagery on a desk

A wick through resistance is a story. A close beyond it is a claim. In our breakout confirmation sessions we treat those differently.

The probe

When price tags a well-watched high and retreats inside the prior range on the same bar, we catalogue it as a probe. Probes teach you where resting orders sit; they do not, by themselves, invite size.

The claim

A claim needs the close to finish outside the range by a distance you defined before the session — often a fraction of the average true range — and preferably with participation higher than the quiet bars that built the boundary.

The retest

Many RiverHub participants add a third close: a return to the broken line that holds. Missing that step is how false breaks recruit late buyers. Practise naming which of the three closes you actually have before you talk about targets.